Sunday, October 19, 2014

Week 7 Picks

The Wildcats football team turned back into a pumpkin last night. And that's all I have to say about that. Next week, #1 Mississippi State, fresh off a bye week, pays a visit to Lexington. I actually think we'll have a decent shot, as the young Cats are undefeated at home, and should be able to pressure Heisman candidate Dak Prescott without blitzing. Either way, it should be better than a 41-3 loss where the Cats didn't turn the ball over at all and the time of possession battle was very close (UK-27, LSU-33). Just an all around beating. But again, that's all I have to say about that.

Picks.

Ravens over Falcons- The Falcons just aren't very good this season. That defense can't stop anyone and the offense can't overcome it anymore. It also may be time to move on from Steven Jackson. As an opposing fan, he scares me the least of any of the Falcons RBs with the ball in his hands. Smith, Freeman and Rodgers are all more of a threat to break a big play, which the Falcons need in the worst way.

Jigskins over Titans- This will be the game Kirk Cousins goes for 328 yards, 3 TDs and runs one in that has people talking themselves into him being a better QB than a healthy Robert Griffin III. And yes, the "a healthy" is a part of Griffin's name now. I don't make the rules.

Seahawks over Rams- Because the Rams pass rush is non-existent. This shouldn't be much of a game, so let me talk a little about Percy Harvin. How does a man his size (5'10, 180) run around delivering fades like the morning paper?? He's been rumored to have been in fights with coaches at Florida and Minnesota, and teammates now in Seattle. Is he just an abnormally good fighter? Or he just knows the same shit he tries with Golden Tate isn't gonna fly with Kam Chancellor? Either way, I'm looking forward to "Harvin/Geno Smith separated during halftime skirmish" as the Seahawks go on a 6-1 run.

Browns over Jaguars- I'm starting to fear the Browns. They've won two straight, have only lost their two games this season by five combined points, have Jacksonville, Oakland and Tampa Bay as their next three games. And each week that goes by is a week closer to Josh Gordon's return.

Colts over Bengals- I don't trust this defense at all. Two straight games of allowing well over 400 total yards, one sack in both games combined and now we're down two starting linebackers (Lamur and Maualuga). That may not necessarily be a bad thing as Lamur/Maualuga have been awful this season, but replacement Vincent Rey hasn't been much better  and this will force either Jayson Dimanche/Taylor Mays onto the field more to help with depth. RG Kevin Zeitler is expected to return, which is good, but this is his first game since week two so expecting him to be in midseason form is a bit much. I think Luck carves up the secondary because our pass rush has been disappointing. Dalton has another solid game here without three of his top receivers but it won't be enough.

Bills over Vikings- Teddy Bridgewater was sacked eight times and knocked down 12 times last week against Detroit. This week he gets to go against....the team tied for second in the league in sacks. When you get a minute, comb through this. As Bill Barnwell noted, someone took the time to go through each of Vikings LT Matt Kalil's snaps this and wrote a comprehensive report on how much he's been stinking. Some of those .gifs are incredible. NFL Reddit is an amazing place. Normal Reddit is a terrifying place.

Bears over Dolphins- I don't have a single thing to say about this game.

Lions over Saints- Saints are coming off a bye and looking to turn things around. I don't think it starts here. That Detroit pass rush will be enough to keep Brees making throws before he's ready and the Lions steal another one without Calvin Johnson.

Packers over Panthers- These may be the two of the three best QBs (Rivers) in the league thus far this season squaring off. Cam played as well of a game against Cincy as I've seen him play. And he's working with absolutely nothing. Rodgers has been shifting it back into God Tier over the last couple of weeks and has had 10 days of prep time off. And he has, ya know, actual weapons.

Chiefs over Chargers- I love Gio/J. Hill, but I see guys like Branden Oliver succeed out in San Diego and just wonder if you should ever draft a RB before day three again. That Chiefs pass rush is potent, but Rivers will negate that with quick throws. Oliver has another big day, Alex Smith has an 12/23, 181 yards type of day and the Chargers win easily.

Cardinals over Raiders- Carson Palmer came back from injury and looked great against Washington. He gets another week of practice against the Raiders, and gives his former team three TDs as the Cards go to 5-1.

Cowboys over Giants- No analysis. Let's just enjoy this while it happens. If the wheels fall off, we get to laugh. If they don't, we get to watch the narrative change on Tony Romo. I'm interested either way.

Broncos over 49ers- Hey, a Sunday night game that SHOULD be a Sunday night game! Kaepernicks numbers have looked good this year, but they feel misleading to me. He's struggled hitting open guys the last two weeks and that was without Von Miller trailing him in pursuit. I like Denver at home here as Peyton Manning becomes the all time leader in passing touchdowns.

Texans over Steelers- I'm all for watching JJ Watt on national television. Even better, when he's doing it against the Steelers. There's also a slight chance, Jadeveon Clowney returns to action this week. I'm hopeful that he does. Should be a long game for Roethlisberger either way.

No comments: