Sunday, October 5, 2014

Week 5 NFL Picks

First things first, shout out to the the 4-1 Kentucky Wildcats. The Kentucky Wildcats that have four wins already after having two ALL OF LAST SEASON. The Kentucky Wildcats that have two conference wins this season after losing 16 straight conference games (two entire seasons). The Kentucky Wildcats that should be 5-0, with a signature win in The Swamp if the below was called correctly:

The Kentucky Wildcats that are home next week against Louisiana Monroe and have a decent shot to crack the top 25 with a win, if EVERYONE in the top 25 loses again like they did this past week. What's so great about this team is how young everyone is. Kentucky Sports Radio took a look at what percentage of guys getting snaps on both sides of the ball are coming back next year and things look promising. A bright future could get brighter with a commitment from 5 star, #10 overall recruit Damien Harris expected to visit Kentucky later this month. He's from Berea and was very excited on the Twitter for UK's win last night so I'm hoping for a commitment soon. Either way, Coach Stoops has the start of something potentially great going on.


Bears over Panthers- The Panthers have looked awful these past two weeks, losing by 18 to the Steelers and 28 to the Ravens. The Bears didn't look much better after getting spanked by the Packers last Sunday. Still, they were victim to Aaron Rodgers being Aaron Rodgers. The Panthers were victim to Steve Smith SR, but not a 28 point beatings worth. The Panthers can't run the ball and have limited receiving options on offense. They can't stop the run on defense. The slide continues.

Browns over Titans- The Browns are coming off a week of rest. The Titans are coming off a week of Charlie Whitehurst starting. And now they get Jake Locker back with a bum wrist. No thank you please.

Eagles over Rams- You think the Rams can still end up with RG3? Like throw the Jigskins a conditional pick or something and hope for the best? Because I'd certainly try that, though Austin Davis hasn't looked terrible in limited time.

Giants over Falcons- The Giants are looking better by the week and the Falcons are...not. The Giants pass rush isn't but it once was but they'll be able to get home against a Falcons offensive line that had their starting TE lining up at RT last week due to injuries. Might get ugly for Matty Ice, even if the score won't reflect it.

Bucs over Saints- I'm on board with the Saints ship sinking. The best part of a terrible secondary, Jairus Byrd, is out for the season and this is New Orleans first week without him. I think Doug Martin/Bobby Rainey will be able to control the clock, Glennon will be able to hit on a deep pass or two to Jackson/Evans and full panic touches down in New Orleans.

Cowboys over Texans- Going with the home team here in what should be a good one. Romo's QB rating has gone up every week since that week 1 disaster against the 49ers, and he's even running a little bit too. Demarco Murray has rushed for all of the yards and Dez Bryant hasn't had a Dez Bryant game yet. Romo has only been touched three times in the last two weeks, so I think the Cowboys will be able to keep him upright (read: out of JJ Watt's way). Fitzpatrick hands over a pair of picks to boot.

Lions over Bills- While I haven't watched any Bills games this season (praises due), I have a hard time wrapping my head around the fact that EJ Manuel was benched after only 14 games. His numbers look so-so, but I've heard he's been terrible and I won't dispute that. Still, there's a reason Kyle Orton is best suited at backup. He may have a couple of decent games, but we're going to remember why he's Kyle Orton soon.

Colts over Ravens- The Colts, and Andrew Luck in particular, have looked great the past two weeks against bums. The Ravens are coming off a game where all they had to do was not mess up and let Steve Smith SR do the rest. I don't think a weak Baltimore pass rush (four sacks in as many games) will be able to slow down Luck and Trent Richa....ok, Andrew Luck.

Steelers over Jaguars- Blake Bortles has looked surprisingly (to me, at least) competent in his limited snaps. He's much more mobile than I gave him credit for and keeps his eyes downfield while avoiding the rush. Fortunately for him, the Steelers pass rush is middle of the pack. I think he'll be able to make some plays, but it won't be enough.

Broncos over Cardinals- Drew Stanton on the road against Peyton Manning. No thank you please.

Chiefs over 49ers- REVENGE FOR ALEX SMITH! I mean, not really. He got paid and took his new team to the playoffs, like Kaepernick but yeah I do think KC wins here. That defense looks like they're getting back to last years form, and I think Kaepernick puts one too many up for grabs here. Sidebar: That new 49ers stadium looks amazing.

Chargers over Jets- That Jets defense has been phenomenal, but Phillip Rivers has been phenomenal-ler.

Bengals over Patriots- I'm terrified for many reasons. Dalton in primetime. Night game in New England. Patriots won't look as bad as they looked on MNF. Burfict is doubtful. Marvin Jones had a setback in practice and is also doubtful. We can't really stop the run, but it hasn't been an issue because we get up early and teams have to pass. But there are a few things on our side, and that's why I'm going with us. The Bengals have the top ranked pass defense in the league, and Tom Brady is coming off a terrible week. Dwayne Bowe had some success against Darrelle Revis last week, which gives me hope for AJ. Brandon Browner won't be active after he was supposed to come back this week and the Patriots cut a WR that started two games for them this season. The Patriots can't stop the run, so I'm thinking Gio and Jeremy Hill can keep the chains moving. Dalton's been touched one time in three games, and hasn't been sacked at all. We already won a game without AJ on the field, so even if Revis limits his impact, I think we can manufacture points. Defensively, we can't stop the run, but the Patriots don't really run much. I can see us escaping Foxboro with something like a 24-17 victory.

Seahawks over Redskins- Lol

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