Well, as it turns out, you trust Josh Freeman more than I do.
To me, he is basically where Philip Rivers is now, but without all the solid years before it. Freeman had one good year. This past year, he threw for his highest yardage total (4,065), but only completed 54.8% of his passes. For a guy in his third year starting full time, that's not good. Sure, he threw 27 TDs, but he also threw 17 INTs.
In any game, I could see him throwing 4 TDs or 4 INTs. I just don't trust him a bit.
Not that I trust Vick, but at least he can make some plays with his legs. Freeman is a little mobile, but not overly so.
I think we've seen who Freeman is at this point. Pretty talented, but prone to long stretches of terrible play. I would absolutely take Dalton, Smith & Vick ahead of him.
As far as Russell Wilson goes, I don't love him. He had a great year. He played for a team that knew how to utilize his talents. But I don't love him going forward. Defenses will be better prepared for the option offense next year. Not saying they'll be able to take it away entirely (I already posted about that), but it will force him to throw a little more from inside the pocket. And that won't end well.
I know a lot was made about his size before the draft. Just because he had a good year doesn't mean those concerns go away. Seattle built their offense around a lot of rollouts for him. If you get outside the pocket, your height doesn't matter so much. But, if you're forced to stay in the pocket, you'll run into problems. Passes tend to get floated. If you're throwing to the middle of the field, that becomes a big problem.
A lot of people say, "Brees has had great success in the league and he's short." That's true. However, Wilson isn't as accurate as Brees. Also, here's a look at Brees' INT totals (and INT%) since he has come to New Orleans:
2006: 11 (2.8)
2007: 18 (2.8)
2008: 17 (2.7)
2009: 11 (2.1)
2010: 22 (3.3)
2011: 14 (2.1)
2012: 19 (2.8)
This year, Wilson threw 10 INTS (2.5) on 393 attempts. The Seahawks are more of a running team, so we can't take it as a given that his attempts will increase this year. But, if he's forced to stay in the pocket more than he would like, it's a safe assumption that those INT numbers will go up.
Perhaps I am a little harsh on Peyton. It's a well-known fact that I'm not a fan of his. It's also true that he had a much better year than I thought he would. But I don't see him repeating that next year.
Here's what it comes down to for me: next year, we're looking at a 37 year old QB not far removed from 4 neck surgeries. Like I said, I know he had a great year this past year, but he played a ridiculously weak schedule in the easiest division in the NFL. Also, by the time the playoffs rolled around, his arm looked shot (as in, more shot than it did throughout the season). He had absolutely no zip on the ball, and couldn't throw further than 10 yards down the field with any real accuracy. I'm looking for a QB that could win me the Super Bowl, and I just don't think he has enough games in that arm of his to do it.
Also, Roethlisberger is a bit lower on my list because of this past year. To me, it looks like all of the hits he has taken over the years really started to catch up with him. He reminded me of Steve McNair in Baltimore. Still big, but much less mobile than he had been. I still like him, but it seems like he has declined a lot even over one year.
And a word on Griffin. I also did these rankings regardless of injuries. If he were healthy for next year, that's where I would take him.
First of all, in 7 years, Aaron Rodgers will be 36. If we're talking 7 years, I'll still take him #1.
But, as far as the other guys are concerned, I'll rank them...
1. Robert Griffin III
2. Colin Kaepernick
3. Andrew Luck
4. Cam Newton
5. Russell Wilson