Sunday, October 19, 2014

Week 7 Picks

The Wildcats football team turned back into a pumpkin last night. And that's all I have to say about that. Next week, #1 Mississippi State, fresh off a bye week, pays a visit to Lexington. I actually think we'll have a decent shot, as the young Cats are undefeated at home, and should be able to pressure Heisman candidate Dak Prescott without blitzing. Either way, it should be better than a 41-3 loss where the Cats didn't turn the ball over at all and the time of possession battle was very close (UK-27, LSU-33). Just an all around beating. But again, that's all I have to say about that.

Picks.

Ravens over Falcons- The Falcons just aren't very good this season. That defense can't stop anyone and the offense can't overcome it anymore. It also may be time to move on from Steven Jackson. As an opposing fan, he scares me the least of any of the Falcons RBs with the ball in his hands. Smith, Freeman and Rodgers are all more of a threat to break a big play, which the Falcons need in the worst way.

Jigskins over Titans- This will be the game Kirk Cousins goes for 328 yards, 3 TDs and runs one in that has people talking themselves into him being a better QB than a healthy Robert Griffin III. And yes, the "a healthy" is a part of Griffin's name now. I don't make the rules.

Seahawks over Rams- Because the Rams pass rush is non-existent. This shouldn't be much of a game, so let me talk a little about Percy Harvin. How does a man his size (5'10, 180) run around delivering fades like the morning paper?? He's been rumored to have been in fights with coaches at Florida and Minnesota, and teammates now in Seattle. Is he just an abnormally good fighter? Or he just knows the same shit he tries with Golden Tate isn't gonna fly with Kam Chancellor? Either way, I'm looking forward to "Harvin/Geno Smith separated during halftime skirmish" as the Seahawks go on a 6-1 run.

Browns over Jaguars- I'm starting to fear the Browns. They've won two straight, have only lost their two games this season by five combined points, have Jacksonville, Oakland and Tampa Bay as their next three games. And each week that goes by is a week closer to Josh Gordon's return.

Colts over Bengals- I don't trust this defense at all. Two straight games of allowing well over 400 total yards, one sack in both games combined and now we're down two starting linebackers (Lamur and Maualuga). That may not necessarily be a bad thing as Lamur/Maualuga have been awful this season, but replacement Vincent Rey hasn't been much better  and this will force either Jayson Dimanche/Taylor Mays onto the field more to help with depth. RG Kevin Zeitler is expected to return, which is good, but this is his first game since week two so expecting him to be in midseason form is a bit much. I think Luck carves up the secondary because our pass rush has been disappointing. Dalton has another solid game here without three of his top receivers but it won't be enough.

Bills over Vikings- Teddy Bridgewater was sacked eight times and knocked down 12 times last week against Detroit. This week he gets to go against....the team tied for second in the league in sacks. When you get a minute, comb through this. As Bill Barnwell noted, someone took the time to go through each of Vikings LT Matt Kalil's snaps this and wrote a comprehensive report on how much he's been stinking. Some of those .gifs are incredible. NFL Reddit is an amazing place. Normal Reddit is a terrifying place.

Bears over Dolphins- I don't have a single thing to say about this game.

Lions over Saints- Saints are coming off a bye and looking to turn things around. I don't think it starts here. That Detroit pass rush will be enough to keep Brees making throws before he's ready and the Lions steal another one without Calvin Johnson.

Packers over Panthers- These may be the two of the three best QBs (Rivers) in the league thus far this season squaring off. Cam played as well of a game against Cincy as I've seen him play. And he's working with absolutely nothing. Rodgers has been shifting it back into God Tier over the last couple of weeks and has had 10 days of prep time off. And he has, ya know, actual weapons.

Chiefs over Chargers- I love Gio/J. Hill, but I see guys like Branden Oliver succeed out in San Diego and just wonder if you should ever draft a RB before day three again. That Chiefs pass rush is potent, but Rivers will negate that with quick throws. Oliver has another big day, Alex Smith has an 12/23, 181 yards type of day and the Chargers win easily.

Cardinals over Raiders- Carson Palmer came back from injury and looked great against Washington. He gets another week of practice against the Raiders, and gives his former team three TDs as the Cards go to 5-1.

Cowboys over Giants- No analysis. Let's just enjoy this while it happens. If the wheels fall off, we get to laugh. If they don't, we get to watch the narrative change on Tony Romo. I'm interested either way.

Broncos over 49ers- Hey, a Sunday night game that SHOULD be a Sunday night game! Kaepernicks numbers have looked good this year, but they feel misleading to me. He's struggled hitting open guys the last two weeks and that was without Von Miller trailing him in pursuit. I like Denver at home here as Peyton Manning becomes the all time leader in passing touchdowns.

Texans over Steelers- I'm all for watching JJ Watt on national television. Even better, when he's doing it against the Steelers. There's also a slight chance, Jadeveon Clowney returns to action this week. I'm hopeful that he does. Should be a long game for Roethlisberger either way.

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Week 6 Picks + Kentucky Combine

Gotta show some love to the 5-1 Wildcats of Kentucky football. Things looked grim after a terrible start against Louisiana Monroe, but they reeled off 45 unanswered points, including two pick sixes and two touchdowns of 55+ yards. Next week the Cats head into the Bayou for a night game at LSU, and the schedule doesn't get much easier after that. Still, being one game away from bowl contention after only winning four combined games in the last two seasons feels good.

While we're talking Kentucky, I have to mention the NBA combine...I mean, televised practice Kentucky teamed up with ESPNU to televise this past Friday. That's right. I watched a team of college kids practice for two hours on Friday afternoon and I'm not ashamed AT ALL. I'm clearly biased, but I loved it. 90 NBA scouting members from all 30 teams filled the gym to watch the Cats run through a "regular practice". They also took their own measurements of players, so there shouldn't be any "Alex Poythress measured an inch shorter than listed. How will this affect his draft stock??" around the end of May. It was a controlled setting so it's hard to draw conclusions, but I still managed to pick up a couple. Imagine that.
  • Everyone is in great shape. Dakari Johnson dropped 25 pounds and it showed. He looked noticeably slimmer and looked much better getting up and down the court.
  • The Harrisons looked good. Andrew consistently beat the full court pressure of Tyler Ulis, and showed much more hustle defensively. Aaron may be the winner of the combine though. Word is, he measured around 6'7 (taller than the 6'5 I had seen him listed at ), has his vertical north of 40 inches (great news for a guy not considered an elite athlete by any means) and his shot seemed to fall with some consistency.
  • Karl Towns can really shoot. Not shoot for a big man, he can SHOOT. He nailed 78 shots in the 5 minute shooting drill, and has legit 3P range.
  • Great to see Willie Caulie-Stein and Trey Lyles on the court after they missed the Bahamas tour with injuries.
  • Tyler Ulis is going to be very good.
Now for what you really came here for. Terrible picks!

Titans over Jaguars- I'm hoping Zach Mettenberger gets the start here. Locker is still battling injuries and Charlie Whitehurst is still Charlie Whitehurst. I wanted Cincinnati to draft Mettenberger late in the draft this year and was bummed to see us go with AJ McCarron over him. I've got an eye on Mettenberger for this reason.

Bucs over Ravens- The Bucs have been on the road three straight games, and put up good efforts in the last two. They beat the Steelers two weeks ago, and lost to the Saints in OT last week after blowing an 11 point lead in the 4th quarter. I think they hold on here and knock the Ravens to 3-3. I like the limited bit of what I've seen from Mike Glennon and a Ravens defense that gave up 400+ yards last week in Indianapolis doesn't scare me.

Broncos over Jets- Geno may not be the answer in New York, but neither is Mike Vick. I don't think he gives the Jets a better chance in the short term or the long term. I rock with Geno right into a 3-13 season and top 5 pick next year. Then we get a chance to put Jameis Winston in New York media. Fun.

Vikings over Lions- It's looking like Teddy Ballgame is back for the Vikings. Which means Christian Ponder won't be playing. That's enough for me to go with Minnesota here. More than enough. 

Patriots over Bills- Jim Schwartz requesting to be carried off on the shoulders of his players and then seeing his wish come true is the story of the year in the NFL. More than Ray Rice. More than Peterson. It's Jim Schwartz requesting to be carried off on the shoulders of his players after a week 5 game that saw his team go one game above .500.

Bengals over Panthers- The injury bug is relentless. AJ Green is out with a reaggravation of turf toe, No Marvin Jones who was supposed to play last week. Tyler Eifert is still about a month away. Kevin Zeitler will probably miss this week too. The good news is that Vontaze Burfict is expected to start after missing the last two games. The Panthers have a terrible run game, which is great because we have a terrible run defense. Their line is terrible and Newton is a little banged up, so I'm hoping he has to drop back 50 times and we can get some good shots at him. On the flip side, that Panthers defense has been a far cry from last season. They haven't been able to stop the run or pass consistently, and I think that bodes well for us. I expect a lot of Gio/Hill, and wouldn't be surprised to see Gio line up at WR as a way to get both on the field at the same time and minimize the time that Tate/Sanzenbacher sees at WR. Put this next bit in stone: There will be a play where Jermaine Gresham has Luke Kuechly in a one on one situation and embarrasses him. Maybe he pancakes him on a block. Goes over top of him for a catch. Trucks him. Something to make you say, "Gresham isn't that bad". Then he's going to mess it up. He'll get called for holding after a 48 yard Gio run. Or drop the pass he shook Kuechly free to catch. And you'll say, "Tyler was right". Just you watch.

Browns over Steelers- The Browns have a great offensive line, Hoyer is doing exactly what they need him to do and they have a healthy Jordan Cameron and Ben Tate to throw in the mix. They win a low scorer over the Steelers after winning the turnover battle 2-0.

Packers over Dolphins- If Aaron Rodgers looks the way he has the past two weeks, it's going to be some time before I pick against the Packers again.

Chargers over Raiders- Cruel.

Seahawks over Cowboys- I'm tempted to pick the Cowboys here, and if this was in Dallas, I probably would. Romo and Murray are playing extremely well right now and that defense is getting by somehow. The Seahawks just got the best pro game I've seen out of Russell Wilson, and were only up 7 points with a little over 3 minutes left to go against Washington on Monday night. This should be a great game and I'm hoping for a lot of Dez vs. Sherman.

Cardinals over Redskins- Logan Thomas is not a good quarterback. He wasn't last week. He wasn't in college. The Redskins defense isn't a dominant bunch, but they should be ashamed of themselves if Thomas completes over 50% of his passes here and they dont come away with at least two turnovers.

Bears over Falcons - Ugh. The local game here. I don't really care who wins because I see both of these teams finishing 8-8 or 9-7 and just missing the playoffs. Both have "franchise QBs" who aren't quite franchise QBs, dynamic duos at WR and little else. The Bears defense is better, but they haven't shown it in the last two weeks. Though to be fair, there wasn't a defense alive stopping Rodgers in that game two weeks ago. I don't trust that Falcons defense and I damn sure don't trust that Falcons offensive line.

Giants over Eagles- The Eagles needed two TDs last from D/ST to beat a 1 win Rams team by six. Three D/ST TD's the week before composed all of their 21 points against the 49ers. The week before that, a kickoff return TD proved the difference in a 3 point win against Washington. Three weeks, six touchdowns from the Eagles defense/special teams. Maybe they are a historically great bunch at getting the ball in the endzone. Or maybe the wheels come off here with no D/ST touchdowns and things get ugly against a division rival that has won three straight games by double digits. I'm betting on the latter.

Rams over 49ers- I'm going with the upset. The Rams are at home. They've lost their last two games by a combined nine points. Austin Davis has been playing better by the week. On the flipside, the Eagles turned the ball over four times last week and didn't score a single point on offense, and San Fran only won by five points at home. The Rams have allowed the least passing yards per game in the league, and I can see them getting hold of an errant Kaepernick pass or two. 27-19 Rams. Call it a hunch.

Baseball predictions: Anyone but the Cardinals, God. Anyone at all.

Sunday, October 5, 2014

Week 5 Picks

True to the regular season, the Tigers bullpen has melted down in spectacular fashion, and Ausmus has made some questionable decisions (like taking Sanchez out after only 2 innings).  Down 0-2 in the series.  It's not over, but they're going to have to really turn it on now if they want any chance of winning.

Great slate of games yesterday.  As you mentioned, UK pulled off a huge win over South Carolina, and I was actually able to watch it.  That was fun.
Within 5 minutes, UK beat SC and Arizona State pulled off a Hail Mary against USC.  Then Utah raced out to a lead and held on to beat UCLA.  A very good night for college football.

I took a couple weeks off from picks because I've had a terrible season picking so far.  Time to dust myself off and try again.

Bears over Panthers
With Greg Hardy out, the Panthers defense doesn't look the same.  The Bears defense doesn't look good either - particularly their run game - but the Panthers offense is hurting right now.

Titans over Browns
I guess this sounds right.

Rams over Eagles
I don't think the NFL has "figured out" Chip Kelly's offense, but I do think that their offensive line is beat up, and that Nick Foles isn't as good as he looked at times last season.  The Rams defensive line will wreak havoc and pull out a close win here at Philadelphia.

Falcons over Giants
I thought the Falcons were on their way back to the top, but they look extremely inconsistent.  I think they'll have a big game here and destroy the Giants.

Saints over Bucs
This game is in New Orleans.  Bucs lose by a lot.  A LOT.

Cowboys over Texans
I like that the Cowboys are using their running game more than they had in the past.  That's where their strength lies, anyway.   Still, there's a decent chance they'll kill Murray if they keep running him this much.

Lions over Bills
I don't put much faith in the Lions defense, but I trust them enough to think they'll beat Kyle Orton.

Colts over Ravens
Colts have been racking up points.  That'll continue here.

Steelers over Jaguars
I actually picked up the Steelers defense in fantasy this week just to be able to pick up some Jags points.  I predict it will work out well for me.

Cardinals over Broncos
In Cardinals defense I trust.

49ers over Chiefs
Although the Chiefs did put on a pretty impressive showing against the Patriots on Monday Night.  I'm no believer in the Patriots this year, but that was still quite a show.

Chargers over Jets
Philip Rivers goes nuts.

Bengals over Patriots
That Bengals defense is going to have a fantastic day.

Seahawks over Redskins
This could get ugly in a hurry.

Week 5 NFL Picks

First things first, shout out to the the 4-1 Kentucky Wildcats. The Kentucky Wildcats that have four wins already after having two ALL OF LAST SEASON. The Kentucky Wildcats that have two conference wins this season after losing 16 straight conference games (two entire seasons). The Kentucky Wildcats that should be 5-0, with a signature win in The Swamp if the below was called correctly:


The Kentucky Wildcats that are home next week against Louisiana Monroe and have a decent shot to crack the top 25 with a win, if EVERYONE in the top 25 loses again like they did this past week. What's so great about this team is how young everyone is. Kentucky Sports Radio took a look at what percentage of guys getting snaps on both sides of the ball are coming back next year and things look promising. A bright future could get brighter with a commitment from 5 star, #10 overall recruit Damien Harris expected to visit Kentucky later this month. He's from Berea and was very excited on the Twitter for UK's win last night so I'm hoping for a commitment soon. Either way, Coach Stoops has the start of something potentially great going on.

Picks.

Bears over Panthers- The Panthers have looked awful these past two weeks, losing by 18 to the Steelers and 28 to the Ravens. The Bears didn't look much better after getting spanked by the Packers last Sunday. Still, they were victim to Aaron Rodgers being Aaron Rodgers. The Panthers were victim to Steve Smith SR, but not a 28 point beatings worth. The Panthers can't run the ball and have limited receiving options on offense. They can't stop the run on defense. The slide continues.

Browns over Titans- The Browns are coming off a week of rest. The Titans are coming off a week of Charlie Whitehurst starting. And now they get Jake Locker back with a bum wrist. No thank you please.

Eagles over Rams- You think the Rams can still end up with RG3? Like throw the Jigskins a conditional pick or something and hope for the best? Because I'd certainly try that, though Austin Davis hasn't looked terrible in limited time.

Giants over Falcons- The Giants are looking better by the week and the Falcons are...not. The Giants pass rush isn't but it once was but they'll be able to get home against a Falcons offensive line that had their starting TE lining up at RT last week due to injuries. Might get ugly for Matty Ice, even if the score won't reflect it.

Bucs over Saints- I'm on board with the Saints ship sinking. The best part of a terrible secondary, Jairus Byrd, is out for the season and this is New Orleans first week without him. I think Doug Martin/Bobby Rainey will be able to control the clock, Glennon will be able to hit on a deep pass or two to Jackson/Evans and full panic touches down in New Orleans.

Cowboys over Texans- Going with the home team here in what should be a good one. Romo's QB rating has gone up every week since that week 1 disaster against the 49ers, and he's even running a little bit too. Demarco Murray has rushed for all of the yards and Dez Bryant hasn't had a Dez Bryant game yet. Romo has only been touched three times in the last two weeks, so I think the Cowboys will be able to keep him upright (read: out of JJ Watt's way). Fitzpatrick hands over a pair of picks to boot.

Lions over Bills- While I haven't watched any Bills games this season (praises due), I have a hard time wrapping my head around the fact that EJ Manuel was benched after only 14 games. His numbers look so-so, but I've heard he's been terrible and I won't dispute that. Still, there's a reason Kyle Orton is best suited at backup. He may have a couple of decent games, but we're going to remember why he's Kyle Orton soon.

Colts over Ravens- The Colts, and Andrew Luck in particular, have looked great the past two weeks against bums. The Ravens are coming off a game where all they had to do was not mess up and let Steve Smith SR do the rest. I don't think a weak Baltimore pass rush (four sacks in as many games) will be able to slow down Luck and Trent Richa....ok, Andrew Luck.

Steelers over Jaguars- Blake Bortles has looked surprisingly (to me, at least) competent in his limited snaps. He's much more mobile than I gave him credit for and keeps his eyes downfield while avoiding the rush. Fortunately for him, the Steelers pass rush is middle of the pack. I think he'll be able to make some plays, but it won't be enough.

Broncos over Cardinals- Drew Stanton on the road against Peyton Manning. No thank you please.

Chiefs over 49ers- REVENGE FOR ALEX SMITH! I mean, not really. He got paid and took his new team to the playoffs, like Kaepernick but yeah I do think KC wins here. That defense looks like they're getting back to last years form, and I think Kaepernick puts one too many up for grabs here. Sidebar: That new 49ers stadium looks amazing.

Chargers over Jets- That Jets defense has been phenomenal, but Phillip Rivers has been phenomenal-ler.

Bengals over Patriots- I'm terrified for many reasons. Dalton in primetime. Night game in New England. Patriots won't look as bad as they looked on MNF. Burfict is doubtful. Marvin Jones had a setback in practice and is also doubtful. We can't really stop the run, but it hasn't been an issue because we get up early and teams have to pass. But there are a few things on our side, and that's why I'm going with us. The Bengals have the top ranked pass defense in the league, and Tom Brady is coming off a terrible week. Dwayne Bowe had some success against Darrelle Revis last week, which gives me hope for AJ. Brandon Browner won't be active after he was supposed to come back this week and the Patriots cut a WR that started two games for them this season. The Patriots can't stop the run, so I'm thinking Gio and Jeremy Hill can keep the chains moving. Dalton's been touched one time in three games, and hasn't been sacked at all. We already won a game without AJ on the field, so even if Revis limits his impact, I think we can manufacture points. Defensively, we can't stop the run, but the Patriots don't really run much. I can see us escaping Foxboro with something like a 24-17 victory.

Seahawks over Redskins- Lol

Sunday, September 21, 2014

Week 3 Picks

I was lucky/unlucky enough to be in attendance for the Bucs-Falcons massacre. Goodness. I'm still not sure how good the Falcons are because the Bucs are terrible and the Saints are off to an 0-2 start as well. Both of the Falcons lines are suspect, but they were able to generate consistent pressure on McCown/Glennon on defense, and keep Matt Ryan upright on offense.

Either way. On to the picks.

Chargers over Bills- I'm not buying into this Bills team at all. I don't think they "lose 14 straight" fall off, but I do think they lose here by double digits.

Cowboys over Rams- I think if the Cowboys can just bide time until Romo gets in rhythm, they can run away with a terrible division. This is the first week he'll start to look like the Romo of old. The good Romo of old, I should clarify.

Eagles over Redskins- Kirk Cousins is going to turn back into a pumpkin.

Texans over Giants- Can nobody win the NFC East this year? Just throw three teams from the Cardinals in the playoffs.

Saints over Vikings- We're a mere three games away from the start of the Teddy Bridgewater era!

Bengals over Titans- The injury bug is on us hard and a Week 4 bye may actually work in our benefit. It's looking like AJ Green plays today and Vontaze Burfict doesn't (and I hope he doesn't. He looked a little too woozy out there last week after a week 1 concussion). The Titans pass rush worries me, but our offensive line has been great protecting Dalton so far. I think Gio and Hill will be able to gash the line like Demarco Murray did a week ago, and this defense will be able to force Jake Locker into some bad decisions. Another low scorer, but a victory for the Bengals.

Ravens over Browns- I don't think either of these teams are very good. The Ravens are on the road here, but had a week and a half to prepare for the Browns. I don't think either of these teams are very good, much to my delight.

Packers over Lions- I think/hope this is the week Eddie Lacy gets back on track after two bad games, and being a couple of weeks removed from that concussion. The Lions have stopped the run well so far, but they've played the Panthers and Giants, two teams not exactly known for their running games. Stafford hands over a freebie, and the Pack rolls to 2-1.

Colts over Jaguars- How did the Jaguars get this bad? Do they have five guys on a rookie contract you could point to as building blocks, Bortles excluded? Three?

Patriots over Raiders- Derek Carr leads the Raiders in passing and rushing. Derek Carr is not known as a dual threat QB.

49ers over Cardinals- Carson Palmer won't start again, and I guess that's a bad thing for Arizona? Drew Stanton had a bad game last week and escaped with a win against the Giants. Not the case this Sunday.

Broncos over Seahawks- Why? Why is this game on at 4:25 and not the SNF or MNF game? I want answers. Either way, I think Welkers returns helps the Broncos keep the chains moving against Seattle. And I refuse to believe they're held to another 8 point outing, even in Seattle.

Chiefs over Dolphins - I guess, man. Iono.

Panthers over Steelers- This a better choice for the primetime game than Broncos-Seahawks?

Bears over Jets- THIS IS A BETTER CHOICE FOR THE PRIMETIME GAME THAN THE BRONCOS-SEAHAWKS???


Sunday, September 14, 2014

Week 2 NFL Picks

I was on the road and actually missed a good bit of the week 1 games. Not the case this week. I'm back and more than ready to make some terrible predictions.

After beating the Ravens in Baltimore, I was delighted to see them destroy Pittsburgh. Neither of these teams are very good. And that delights me to no end.

Miami over Buffalo- I don't trust the Bills at all, even coming off a victory. I'm counting the weeks until they hand the Browns a top eight pick in the draft from the Sammy Watkins trade.

Jigskins over Jaguars- You'll have to watch this game and tell me about it because I have zero plans on seeing any of it.

Titans over Cowboys- This Cowboys team is bad. That defense is terrible, and Romo didn't look healthy from what I saw. I think the Titans can contend for that division if Locker stays healthy, which he's had trouble doing.

Cardinals over Giants- That Cardinals defense is the real deal, even without Dockett and Washington. The defensive line gets off the line FAST and that secondary is dynamite, and they're still waiting for Tyrann Mathieu to return. Eli is good for two picks and a lost fumble here. Sidebar: I know Deone Buchanan projects to be a very nice addition to their backfield, I'd be sick if I was a Cardinals fan and they passed on Bridgewater.

Vikings over Patriots- My second team! Not really, but I love Mike Zimmer and want him to do well in Minnesota. That Minny defense feasted on a terrible Rams offense, and from what I hear, the Patriots offense didn't look much better last week. Cassel holds onto the ball, Peterson  Patterson make enough plays to keep the chains moving and the Vikes win a low scoring one.

Saints over Browns- I see another "almost" game for the Browns here, as they keep it close at home for three quarters before losing in the last couple of minutes. That great Saints defense of last season looked awful against Atlanta last week.

Bengals over Falcons- Our cornerbacks are my biggest concern here. Steve Smith made a mockery of our secondary last week, and I can only imagine what Julio Jones will do to it. The Saints only sacked Matt Ryan once, and he picked them apart. We got decent pressure on Flacco, and I'm hopeful Wallace Gilberry will be able to make things rough on rookie Jake Matthews. Otherwise, I think we'll be able to run the ball and sustain drives on this defense.

Panthers over Lions- That Panthers defense is still legit, they're at home and Cam Newton is back in action. A couple of Stafford turnovers helps their cause.

Bucs over Rams- Shouldn't the Rams try to make a move for Mike Glennon? Word is Shaun Hill got benched, though the Rams are claiming injury, and that team appears to be in good shape besides the QB position. Glennon had a solid rookie year but saw his job taken by a guy that had an anomaly of a season. I'd kick the tires on Glennon as a fill in this year, and maybe longer with Bradford trying to recover from both injury and mediocrity.

Seahawks over Chargers- I don't see that San Diego secondary being able to do much with Harvin and I damn sure don't see their defensive line stopping Lynch.

Texans over Raiders- Clowney hurt during his first game because everything stinks. The Texans win another low scoring affair as JJ Watt makes Derek Carr's life miserable.

Jets over Packers- I'm going upset here. I think between Chris Ivory, Chris Johnson and Geno the Great running the ball, the Jets will be able to control the clock and thus keep Geno Smith from airing it out. I kinda like the Jets this season and I really like Geno this season. *fast forward to Packers winning by six touchdowns*

Broncos over Chiefs- Things might go 100 to 0 for the Chiefs real quick. Two starting linebackers out for the year. A tough schedule to start the season (@ Denver, @ Miami, vs NE, @ San Francisco) and maybe the Chiefs defense that showed up the last half of the season is the real deal and the dominant unit from the first half was a mirage.

49ers over Bears- Another erratic QB for the 49ers to feast on?

Eagles over Colts- Ok, I get it. Andrew Luck has next. He's going to be the best quarterback of all time, and probable supreme overlord of the universe upon his retirement. I get it. I still don't wanna watch this Colts team in primetime for a second straight week. That team might be below average at every position except for quarterback and receiver. And the receivers might be doing a whole lot of nothing, because the quarterback is running for his life.

NFL Week 2 Picks

I did a write-up of the Packers/Seahawks game here.  Bottom line: it wasn't pretty, but it was just one game.  That's what I keep telling myself.  Cutting down on costly penalties will help them quite a bit.  Too  many defensive breakdowns, too.  AJ Hawk needs to not be a starter anymore.

It's worth noting that my picks last week were terrible.  Pure trash.  I don't know why I keep doing this to myself.

To the picks:

Dolphins over Bills
This seems like a toss-up, but I'll roll with Tannehill.

Redskins over Jaguars
Look for Griffin to have a better day than he did last week.  It'll be close, but some big plays for the Redskins in the second half will be the difference.

Titans over Cowboys
I didn't see any of the Titans game last week, but I saw enough of the Cowboys game to not feel comfortable picking them.

Cardinals over Giants
Even without Carson Palmer starting (Drew Stanton time!), I trust the Cards to win this game.  Really, I just think the defense will force a couple Eli Manning turnovers.  It'll be low scoring, but that kind of game favors the Cardinals.

Patriots over Vikings
No Peterson this week, so I'll go ahead and take the Pats here.

Saints over Browns
The Saints defense is better than it looked against the Falcons last week.  They'll be able to shut down the Browns offense.

Falcons over Bengals
You know how much I love Matt Ryan (well, maybe not him personally, but the way he plays).  The offense is healthy, and they'll make life really hard on the Bengals defense.  Something like 27-24 seems about right.

Lions over Panthers
No Greg Hardy for the Panthers.  A cracked-rib Newton playing.  Add that to the Lions looking really good last week, and I kind of have to take them.  I don't like picking a Jim Caldwell team to win, but what other choice do I have?

Rams over Bucs
Not sure I'll be able to pick the Bucs while Josh McCown is the starter.  Free Glennon!

Seahawks over Chargers
The Chargers make their bones with running and short passing.  Those are two areas the Seahawks excel at stopping.  The Packers actually had a bit of success running up the middle on the Seahawks last week, but, with the undersized speed backs the Chargers have, they're built more to run outside.  This will not end well for San Diego, even if they are playing at home.

Texans over Raiders
I guess this looks right.

Packers over Jets
Green Bay comes out and takes out all their frustrations from last week out on the Jets.  They comes out of the gate hot and don't let up.

Broncos over Chiefs
Chiefs looked bad last week, and now they lost one of their best defenders and are heading into Denver.  This could get ugly really fast.

49ers over Bears
I was ready to pick the Bears here, but now it looks like Jeffery and Marshall won't be playing (if they do, they'll be greatly diminished).  They would have been huge against the undersized secondary of the Niners, but, without them, the Bears offense won't be able to do much.

Eagles over Colts
This could go either way, but I don't trust in the Colts defense.